EURUSD on Friday dropped -0.15% to 1.09014. Week ending 2023-04-07 rose 0.58%. What happened.
EURUSD Analysis
| Week ending 2023-04-07 | |||
| Open | High | Low | Close |
| 1.08418 | 1.09733 | 1.07870 | 1.09014 |
| Performance | |||||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
| Friday | -0.15% | -16.2 Pips |  | ||
| Week 2023-04-07 | 0.58% | 63.3 Pips | | ||
| April | 0.58% | 63.3 Pips |  | ||
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Tue 10:00 AM EUR Retail Trade Turnover (12-mth) | Mar 
Wed 01:30 PM USD CPI Inflation Rate excluding Food & Energy sectors (1-mth) | Mar Wed 01:30 PM USD CPI Inflation Rate excluding Food & Energy sectors (12-mth) | Mar Wed 07:00 PM USD FOMC Meeting Minutes 
Thu 07:00 AM EUR Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) (12-mth) | Mar Fri 01:30 PM USD Retail Trade Turnover (1-mth) | Mar Fri 01:30 PM USD Retail Trade Control Group | Mar Fri 03:00 PM USD Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment | Apr flash Sat 01:00 AM USD IMF Meeting
What happened over the week
📆 ☢️ 🇺🇸 USD Nonfarm Payroll Employment | Mar in March below forecast and dropped to 236K compared to previous figure 326, revised from 311K in February. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 🇺🇸 📆 USD In the week ending 01 April, the Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims rose to 228K compared to previous figure 198K. Source: Department of Labor 📆 🇺🇸 USD S&P Global Composite PMI | Mar in March below forecast and dropped to 52.3 points compared to previous figure 53.3 points in February. Source: 📆 🇺🇸 USD Goods and Services Trade Balance | Feb in February exceed forecast and dropped to -70.5$ compared to previous figure -68.7, revised from -68.3$ in January. Source: 📆 🇩🇪 EUR S&P Global/BME Composite PMI | Mar in March unchanged at 52.6 points compared to previous report in February. The actual figure is also in line with the forecast. Source: 📆 🇺🇸 USD Factory Orders (1-mth) | Feb in February exceed forecast and improved to -0.7% compared to previous figure -2.1, revised from -1.6% in January. Source: Census Bureau 📆 🇺🇸 USD S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | Mar in March below forecast and dropped to 49.2 points compared to previous figure 49.3 points in February. Source: 📆 🇩🇪 EUR S&P Global/BME Manufacturing PMI | Mar in March exceed forecast and rose to 44.7 points compared to previous figure 44.4 points in February. Source:
What can we expect from EURUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?
EURUSD on Friday dropped -0.15% to 1.09014. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising. For the week ending 2023-04-07, the pair rose 0.58% or 63.3 pips higher.
Looking ahead on Monday, EURUSD looks mixed as the pair is likely to consolidate above week low of 1.07870.
For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of week high of 1.09733 or at least consolidates above Weekly Pivot level of 1.08872. On the downside, we are looking at week low 1.07870 or 1.08012 (WS1) as immediate support level. EURUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A break above 1.09733 would suggest bullish bias after recent positive movement.
For the month of April, EURUSD is up by 0.58% or 63.3 pips higher.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 1.11738 |
| R2 | 1.10735 |
| R1 | 1.09875 |
| Weekly Pivot | 1.08872 |
| S1 | 1.08012 |
| S2 | 1.07009 |
| S3 | 1.06149 |
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