Eurusd remains stable as consolidation continues

EURUSD Analysis

Performance after Monday
PeriodPctChgMomentum
Monday0%0 Pips▼
Week to-date0%0 Pips▼
April1.45%168.0 Pips▲

Upcoming key events (GMT+8)

Time (GMT+8)CurrencyImpactEvent
Tue 04:00 PMEURHIGHEuro area Bank Lending Survey
Wed 01:30 AMEURHIGHEuropean Central Bank’s President Christine Lagarde speech
Wed 08:00 PMEURHIGHCPI Inflation Rate (1-mth)
Wed 08:00 PMEURHIGHCPI Inflation Rate (12-mth)
Wed 08:00 PMEURHIGHHarmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) (12-mth)
Thu 02:00 AMUSDHIGHFed Interest Rate Decision (Federal Funds Rate)
Thu 02:00 AMUSDHIGHFOMC Monetary Policy Statement
Thu 02:30 AMUSDHIGHFOMC Press Conference

What happened lately

The EURUSD pair remained relatively stable on Monday, closing unchanged at 1.17200. The trading session saw the pair oscillate within a narrow range, reaching a high of 1.17540 and a low of 1.16870. This lack of significant movement suggests a period of consolidation, with traders possibly awaiting further economic cues to drive the next directional move.

There were no major economic releases during this period to influence the EURUSD’s price action. As such, the market’s focus is likely shifting towards upcoming high-impact events that could provide fresh impetus for the pair.

Looking ahead, several key events are scheduled that could significantly impact the EURUSD. On Tuesday at 4:00 PM (GMT+8), the Euro area Bank Lending Survey will be released, which may offer insights into the region’s financial conditions. This will be followed by a speech from the European Central Bank’s President Christine Lagarde at 1:30 AM on Wednesday, potentially providing further guidance on the ECB’s monetary policy stance.

Additionally, Wednesday at 8:00 PM will see the release of crucial inflation data, including the CPI Inflation Rate for both the one-month and twelve-month periods, as well as the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for the twelve-month period. These figures will be closely watched for indications of inflationary pressures within the Eurozone.

On the USD front, the Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate Decision is due on Thursday at 2:00 AM, accompanied by the FOMC Monetary Policy Statement and a subsequent press conference at 2:30 AM. These events are expected to provide clarity on the Fed’s policy direction, which could have significant implications for the EURUSD exchange rate.

In the absence of major economic headlines, the market sentiment appears to be one of cautious anticipation. Traders are likely positioning themselves ahead of these high-impact events, which could lead to increased volatility in the coming days. As such, market participants should remain vigilant and prepared for potential shifts in the EURUSD’s trajectory as new data and policy insights emerge.


What can we expect from EURUSD today?

As we begin the trading week, EURUSD is showing a mixed daily outlook with no change in performance from the previous close at 1.17200. Traders are observing a range-bound movement, with the pair having reached a daily high of 1.17540 and a low of 1.16870.

R3 1.18207 R2 1.17873 R1 1.17537 Pivot 1.17203 S1 1.16867 S2 1.16533 S3 1.16197 Price ▶ 1.17200 ▲ 1.17873 ▼ 1.16533 Bull Scenario → R2 Bear Scenario → S2 EURUSD

📈 Bull Scenario

In a bullish scenario, EURUSD could gain upward momentum if it breaks above the daily pivot at 1.17203. A sustained move beyond this level could see the pair testing the first resistance at 1.17537. Further bullish pressure might propel the pair towards the second resistance at 1.17873, especially if the price manages to climb above the 9-day EMA.

📉 Bear Scenario

Conversely, a bearish outlook may materialize if EURUSD falls below the daily pivot of 1.17203. A decline could lead the pair to test the first support level at 1.16867. Should selling pressure intensify, the next key support to watch would be 1.16533, particularly with the stochastic indicator currently falling, suggesting potential downward momentum.

Key levels to watch out:

R31.18207
R21.17873
R11.17537
Daily Pivot1.17203
S11.16867
S21.16533
S31.16197

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